Does Rahul Gandhi have any chance to become next PM of India after Modi?

While Rahul Gandhi has been actively involved in Indian politics and has led significant campaigns for the Indian National Congress, the prospects of him becoming the next Prime Minister of India after Narendra Modi in the recent context appear challenging.

Here are some key points:

Election Results

In the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, the Congress Party, led by Rahul Gandhi, won 234 seats, which is short of the majority needed to form the government. The BJP, led by Narendra Modi, formed the government with 293 seats, including support from its allies12.

Electoral Projections

Pre-election surveys and analyses suggested that the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) was likely to win enough seats to form a government for a historic third term, with the BJP and its allies projected to secure more than the required 272 seats. In contrast, the Congress and its allies were projected to fall short, with around 49 seats for the Congress itself2.

Rahul Gandhi's Confidence

Despite these projections, Rahul Gandhi has expressed confidence in his party's chances, stating that Narendra Modi would not become the next Prime Minister. However, this confidence is not supported by the majority of electoral forecasts and analyses4.

Given these points, while Rahul Gandhi remains a significant figure in Indian politics and continues to lead the Congress Party's efforts, the current electoral landscape suggests that his chances of becoming the next Prime Minister after Narendra Modi are slim based on the recent election results and projections.